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Status to admit fast turning of this branch. Therefore the stateIt is compelled while to support volumes of output in branch at the expense of grants
(More than 10 bln. roubles in the budget of 1996) that predetermines the low
Rates of recession in branch and in the basic coal-mining region of the country -
The Kemerovo region.
However it is obvious that the region is doomed to recession continuation, let and
Moderate rates, in a current of long time, and even the general Economy revival in the event that it will begin, will not lead To increase in requirement for coal: most likely, new power capacities Will be guided by other kinds of fuel.
Moderate recession with the subsequent growth
This type of dynamics is characteristic for monogrocery regions, production
Which is in demand on foreign markets, but which till 1992 in The core it was consumed in home market (black and nonferrous metallurgy, Some kinds of chemical production, in particular, fertilizers).
In 1992-93 production curtailment of production in these regions went The approximately same rates (as a rule, a little smaller), as in
Whole on the country. It has been connected with falling of internal consumption
Corresponding kinds of production in the conditions of the general slump in production.
Job on penetration on foreign markets, on reorganisation was simultaneously conducted
Manufactures according to requirements of foreign buyers.
The underestimated rouble exchange rate in many respects promoted fast expansion
Export of corresponding production, and approximately from the middle of 1994
The increase in external demand has allowed to compensate many reduction Internal consumption, therefore in a number of branches and regions Economic growth (most vivid examples such - Vologda has begun And Lipetsk areas).
Limits of such economic growth are well enough visible also. Further Export expansion encounters restrictions of world demand. Except That, active expansion of the Russian firms in the world market, more often
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