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? Yit1 = (it11 - it10) * it21 * it31;
Influence of change of the second factor on change of a resultant of function
? Yit2 = it10 * (it21 - it20) * it31;
Influence of change of the third factor on change of a resultant of function
? Yit3 = it10 * it20 * (it31 - it30).
To check up correctness of calculations it is possible by means of the following formula
Y1 - Y0 =? Y =? Yit1 +? Yit2 +? Yit3.
Thus, it is possible to define influence of change of one chosen
Indicators on change of others, it allows to reveal the most significant
Factors on which current profitableness of investment value depends.
Estimation of informal indicators
Expert estimation of risk of investment value
The variety of risk factors complicates process of reception of the initial data and
Carrying out of the estimation of risk. In this connection from possible methods of an estimation
Risk of investment values it is necessary to use only those methods,
Risk kinds on investment values. Thereupon, in our opinion, for
The risk analysis the method of expert estimations 4, 40 can be used.
The method of expert estimations switches on a complex logic and mathematical
The procedures directed on reception from experts of the information, its analysis and
Generalisation for the purpose of preparation and a choice of rational decisions. Essence of it
Method consists in carrying out by the qualified experts
The intuitively-logic analysis of a problem with qualitative or quantitative
Estimation of judgements and the formalized processing of results.
Complex use of intuition, logic thinking and
Corresponding mathematical apparatus allows to receive the decision
Task in view (problem). For an estimation of risk of investment value on
To the chosen indicators the questionnaire is made. The questionnaire form has the universal
Kind also it is simple in filling.
Using methods of optimum processing of the expert information and the decision
Kinds of risks and sequence of necessary actions for their minimisation, and also
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