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Fast and steady recession
This type of dynamics is characteristic for industrially developed regions with
Not developed agriculture. It mainly regions of the centre and
The northwest of Russia, and also Transbaikalia. Typical regions here are
Udmurtiya, the Moscow, Ivanovo and Pskov areas. Also to this group
It is necessary to carry Novosibirsk and partly the Tomsk region. In spite of the fact that
In these regions the deepest recession in 1992-95 was observed,
They still obviously have not reached "bottom" of recession and hardly in the near future here
It is necessary to expect manufacture stabilisation.
The situation analysis in regions of this type should be spent from two points
At once it is necessary to notice that prospects here not the most favorable.
The markets of financial services gravitate or to the postindustrial centres
(Moscow, St.-Petersburg), or to the large industrial centres which have saved
Development prospects (Samara, Nizhni Novgorod, Tyumen), or to regions,
Actively participating in redistribution of budgetary streams (Yakutsk, partly
Kemerovo), or to ports (Vladivostok).
From this point of view of prospect of development is only at Moscow Region
Under condition of its close interaction with Moscow, and also at Novosibirsk
The area having all possibilities for transformation into one more
The postindustrial centre (high scientific and a mental potential,
Is on crossing of the basic transport ways, is informal
Capital of the Siberian region). There are certain prospects and at
Leningrad region, especially taking into account its frontier position.
Also certain prospects are at the Tomsk region possessing
Large stocks of oil and counting on attraction of the large-scale
However for the majority of other regions these possibilities are insignificant, so
Here it is necessary to expect strengthening of migratory processes (on a line a city-village,
And also in the postindustrial centres; probably, as in southern regions).
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