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The threshold of elections) smears the given factor to lead to a full paralysis
"Creative" (i.e. not directed on satisfaction of interests of groups
Pressure) state activity. Record falling of incomes
The state budget in 1-2nd quarters of current year is one of
The most impressing illustrations of this thesis. Managing subjects,
The obligations to the state, knowing that the government not
Is interested to convict them of infringements and to punish for it: after all thereby
It would lose their support. The government, as a matter of fact, silently
Has agreed with rules "games in one collar": than more sum of debts
To the budget, that above probability of its write-off in the future and, hence, that
Above stimulus to its escalating.
For rather short history of the Russian economic reform it already
Not the first case when uncertainty in the political markets leads
Such "to game in one collar". It is Enough to recollect the sharpest crisis
Non-payments 1992-1993 which has been in many respects provoked by the political
The uncertainty connected with opposition of the government and Supreme
Council. Despite lacking money for an abacus of the enterprises, their heads
Continued to sell and buy production on tick, with good reason
Expecting that subjects of the political markets eventually will be compelled
To resort to mass write-off of debts, to get support
"Captains of the industry". The general scheme was then very similar: than it is more
The sum of mutual debts, that above probability of its write-off, - and that
Its further increase is more expedient.
Certainly, uncertainty in the political markets can amaze not
Only the countries with transitive economy, but in them it accepts
The sharpest forms. In such countries there are all preconditions for it
"Lost" during struggle for primary redistribution of the economic
Powers and the property rights; high rates in struggle round prospects
Their secondary redistribution; presence of the political forces which are putting forward
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