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Hence, innovation diffusion depends as on strategy of simulators, And from quantity of pioneer recipients. Businessmen open the new
Technological possibilities, but their realisation depends on a simulator choice.
The probability of domination in the market will be it for technology with big
Number of the pioneer organisations. Certainly, result of a competition of technologies
Influence of earlier is defined by a choice of all agents in the market, but
Recipients will be big in comparison with performance of the subsequent.
At the same time it is difficult to estimate relative advantages it in an early phase
Their diffusions, especially if it is a question of radical innovations. In the such
Situations a considerable role in business of the future technological development plays
Choice of followers. The matter is that each choice allows to raise
Competitiveness of corresponding technology also increases chance
Last on its acceptance by the subsequent managing subjects, which
Will consider earlier made elections. After accumulation of sufficient experience,
When alternative technologies are mastered by many managing subjects, and
Their relative advantages are known with the high reliability, the subsequent
Recipients make decisions, being based on expected profitableness
Alternative technologies. As a result, final division of the market by the new
Alternative technologies it is defined by strategy of simulators.
For fast distribution of an innovation the developed infrastructure is necessary.
Innovative process has cyclic character that shows
Chronological order of occurrence of innovations in various areas of technics.
It is possible to notice that the innovation is such technical and economic cycle, in
Which use of results of sphere of researches and workings out
Directly calls technical and economic changes, which
Have return influence on activity of this sphere. (It confirm
Various concepts of long waves of N.D.Kondratyev, I.E.Vargi, And.
In process of development the activity representing it, breaks up on
Separate sites differing among themselves also it is materialised in a kind
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