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Conditions the volume of currency reserves practically will not change - as a matter of fact at
Preservation of the scales which have developed in previous years of outflow of the capital all
The gain of currency reserves will go on service of an external debt.
Potentially possible volumes of payments on an external debt in 1999 it is possible
To estimate no more than in 7.5 billion dollars.
Deficiency of the federal budget in 1999 will make an order of 4 percent of gross national product
At primary proficiency of an order of 1 percent and level of cash incomes in 11
Percent. Thus dollar volume of gross national product (estimated on the mid-annual
To current rate) will make an order of 170 billion dollars against 276
Billions dollars in 1998. It will lead to that the relation of the external
Debt to gross national product will make an order of 90 percent. Per capita made
Gross national product is necessary 1150 dollars (against 1877 in 1998) that is comparable with
Level of 1993. Following the results of a year it is possible to expect about 28-34 percentage
Growth of monetary weight that 40-44 percentage inflations will lead. Essential
Changes on a labour market will not occur, a rate of unemployment a little
Will increase in comparison with 1998.
Estimation of the basic macroeconomic indicators for 2000
Character of development of economy in 2000 will be few than to differ from 1999
Year that is caused by instability traditional for elective years,
Instability of expectations of economic agents. At the same time intention
The governments to carry out rigid budgetary to the policy will allow to limit rates
Rise in prices in 2000 20-25 percent. Defining influence on dynamics
The basic macroeconomic indicators stabilisation will render
Internal demand in 1999 which has essentially decreased after the August
Crisis of 1998, continuation of outflow of the capital from the country, uncertainty in
The relation of re-structuring of an external debt and necessity of its service.
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