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Drawing 2. Dynamics of gross national product, employment and productivity in recession
That distinguishes the Russian labour market - presence about 12 million
"Superfluous" workers, which in usual cyclic crisis in
To usual market economy, most likely, would lose workplaces. It is possible
To assume, what exactly this part of a labour has employment other, than
Usual, because of system it the economic relations which have entailed
Unprecedented changes in demand structure.
2.2 Employment, unemployment and productivity in the economic
The manufacture increase, as a rule, is not accompanied simultaneous and
Adequate expansion of hiring of new workers. Employers aspire
At first to increase fund of working hours of available workers (in particular,
Therefore employment growth usually follows growth of cumulative demand with
Certain time log. Moreover, the rate of unemployment can
To raise until "mode" of economic revival it will not be established
Definitively. Thus, than above a deviation of number working from
Sizes of the effective demand, especially limited will be possibilities
Expansions of employment at the expense of hiring of a new labour.
Let's try to analyse probable scenarios of dynamics of employment and
Unemployments depending on changes of gross national product and productivity after the beginning
2.2.1 Restoration of a performance level and number occupied to
One of problems for economic revival it would be possible
To formulate so: what are necessary rates of increase of gross national product for restoration
Corresponding performance level and number of the occupied
From the point of view of counteraction to the unemployment, the given scenario rather
It is attractive. Labour productivity increases to 2005it. Almost in 1,5
Time. Employers after labour demand expansion optimise
Working hours fund. The phenomenon of "the latent unemployment" practically disappears.
The further expansion of a labour demand conducts to growth of the additional
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