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Conjuncture. Deterioration of an economic situation in Asia and Latin America, on
Other emerging markets will promote also to the further delay
Rates of increase of a national economy.
Deficiency of trading balance of the USA in 1998 is estimated in record size
Schedule 4. Dow-Johns's index (02.1998 - 02.1999)
Table 3. The forecast of discount rate it and profitablenesses of the governmental
18 it. 99
18 it. 99
On May, 20th 99
19 it. 99
18 aching. 99
17 it. 00
Source: JP Morgan US Fixed Income Markets, 18 February, 1999
THE EUROPEAN UNION
1998 became year of rather fast economic development
The states of the European Union. Negative influence of the Asian crisis on
Export from these countries it has been substantially softened by improvement
Trade conditions, decrease in long-term interest rates and growth on others,
Not Asian, the markets. Gross national product growth in EU in 1998 has made 2,8 %, and in 1999
It is predicted at level of 2,2 %. To preservation of high rates of increase
Promoted, in particular, high level business and consumer
The trust, essential decrease in interest rates and carrying out
The budgetary-monetary policy directed on the maximum achievement
Criteria of the Maastricht agreement.
Predicted decrease in rates of increase of 1999 communicates first of all with
The tendency to delay of rates of increase of industrial production, basically
As a result of export falling, including to Russia. Threat for Europe
The status of the European banks which are much more connected is also
With Asia and Russia, than their American partners. It is expected that European
The central bank still at least once will lower during the current year the registration
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