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The worst case of its decrease approximately for 0.5 percent. Other problem at
It will arise because predicted dynamics of the prices in
The industries, agriculture, building, and, accordingly, and
Nominal volume of gross national product for 1999 appear essentially more low, than at
It appears approximately on 10-15 percentage points more low, than in case of the forecast
From outside demand. It is necessary to underline, what is it occurs thus that
The real volume of gross national product from outside offers appears above, than from outside
Demand. The nominal volume of gross national product thus really appears on
Level of 4000 billion roubles, i.e. as well as it has been put in the budget.
If to assume that in the near future Goskomstat will not specify
Recently published data about volume and gross national product structure for 1998, on
All visibility the nominal volume of gross national product for 1999 will appear at the rate of about
In 4300 billion roubles, instead of 4000 billion. Really, statistics
The prices of final consumption it is represented to more reliable in comparison with
Statistics of the prices in manufacture which are still deformed by non-payments,
Barter, aspiration to underestimate taxable base, etc. In this case
Relative density of final consumption by the population of the goods and services in total amount
Gross national product in nominal expression will decrease in comparison with the previous a little
Year (to 53 percent against 56 percent in 1998). A little
Relative density of investments into a fixed capital (also approximately will decrease also on
Three points) that will be compensated for the bill of increase in relative density
Gain of stocks and reserves, and also pure export (a mid-annual course
Dollar in 1999 will be approximately in 2.5 times above, than in 1998 that
It is caused by the accelerated devaluation of rouble in the end of the last year).
On the contrary, if to accept that the nominal volume of gross national product in 1999 will not exceed
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