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Unemployments it will be reduced, but average duration of unemployment will increase in
Force of that distribution of the unemployed on groups of different duration
Absence of job it appears concentrated around higher
Values. Thus, this sort of external influence on a labour market
It is impossible to recognise successful.
Let's assume now that under the same conditions the program is realised,
Directed on increase "abilities to employment" it is long the unemployed
(Switching on, for example, profound consultation, training to skills of search
Jobs, restoration of professional skills through retraining and
Granting of the grant to employers at their hiring). At successful realisation
Programs outflow from group it is long the unemployed will increase. It will lead
To immediate reduction of a rate of unemployment. Besides, the similar program
Will give effect of reduction of average duration of unemployment, as persons,
Captured by the new program, will it is exclusively long the unemployed.
The given scenario will be reproduced (the truth, at lower level
Unemployments) until when the first phase of realisation will end
Programs. Then a little scales of inflow and outflow of the unemployed will increase,
Connected as with inclusion of new group in the program, and with replenishment
Numbers of the unemployed the persons who were trained but who could not find
To itself job. At the same time, the aggregate number of the unemployed remains on low
Level. Thus, it will be reached as decrease in the general level
Unemployments, and share reduction is long the unemployed, speaking
Purposes of the program.
The examples resulted above bring to a conclusion that without dependence from
Expansions or narrowings of macroeconomic possibilities for employment
There is a considerable and steady layer of the unemployed which remain in
Adverse position, both at a stage of economic recession, and in
The lifting period. There is a high probability of that they hardly probable can
To compete on equal terms for arising workplaces to participants of the market
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