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Fund "Bureau of the economic analysis"

103009 Moscow, Small Gnezdnikovsky lane, 4,

Bodies.(095 937-67-50 fax (095 937-67-53

e-mail: bureau@beap.dol.ru

The Internet: www.beafnd.org

The information-analytical bulletin

it 15

June, 1999

The Russian economy on a threshold of a new millenium: current problems and

Development prospects


Development of the Russian economy was in the nineties characterised Unprecedented on duration and depth economic recession, Which scales can be compared unless only with scales of crises in

The separate states CIS and the countries suffering from the long-term interbreeding

Military conflicts. Volumes of output of gross national product and an industrial output in 1998

To year have made in Russia accordingly 58 and 46 percent from level 1990

Year. Though rates of recession in second half 1990th years were slowed down, and in 1997

To year even there were some signs of revival of economy, this fact not

Changes the general negative quantitative estimation of results of development of the last

Decades. Even potentially possible stabilisation of manufacture in 1999 To year in aggregate with rapid growth of industrial production, which

It was marked in the end the 1998-beginning of 1999, does not allow with confidence

To assert that the period of crisis development in Russia remained behind.

The general for all period of reforms of 1990th years, including last months,

Absence of any long-term qualitative reference points is Social development, incompleteness of almost all components Reforms, constant personnel shifts in the government, absence Stable legislative base and, as consequence, - the general instability in

To the country. So, unlike Poland or Czechia, other countries of Eastern Europe, with

The beginning headed for integration into economic community

The European countries and begun construction of legislative base in conformity

With the standards typical for the developed countries of Europe, or selected another

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