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Months in February till 3.3 months in May (that more low than in the corresponding
The period of 1998).
So, as appears from the above above, dynamics of basic elements of gross national product on
To results of 1999 can differ radically from dynamics in previous years:
For the first time for all period of 1990th years recession of consumption will be much deeper,
Than recession in investments (which volume even can exceed last year's
Level). The basic question consists in that, the developed how much will change
For years of reforms macroeconomic proportions, are how much steady tendencies
Last months, it is how much steady registered by statistics bodies
Manufacture growth, whether really it is necessary to expect refraction of the flowing
Tendencies, or the typed rates of acceleration in dynamics of the industrial
Manufactures will already allow to pass to a stage of steady growth of economy.
The adequate estimation of nominal and real volume of gross national product has the solving
Value at budget drawing up for 2000 and the subsequent budgetary
Planning. Thus one of vital issues of an estimation of expected results
1999 represents the big rupture between the prices in the consumer market
And the prices for a commodity market of intermediate consumption and industrial
Services. Along with the rupture noted above between dynamics of consumer prices
And the prices on capital investments in 1998 essential rupture was formed
Between consumer prices and the prices of manufacturers of the industrial
Production, the prices for transport services. As the specified rupture
It was formed in second half of 1998, this factor will render
Essential influence and on dynamics of the mid-annual prices of 1999 that can
Uses and an industrial method.
Being based on the accounting data about dynamics of consumption, the indicator
Which the turn of retail trade and consumption of the paid can serve
Services, with sufficient degree of confidence it is possible to assert that following the results of
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