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Hiring. Number of the occupied reaches sizes of effective demand. Level
Unemployments it is reduced from 11 % (to economically active population) in 1997it.
To 5 % in 2005it. However such changes are possible only under a condition
Mid-annual growth of gross national product within seven years in volume of 5-8 %. It is obvious that
Similar assumptions are too optimistical. Most likely, dynamics of gross national product will be
Smoother, with the annual rates of its growth gradually increasing in
Limits from 1 % in the beginning of the period of revival to 5 % after the seven-year
The period. Owing to the given restrictions simultaneous restoration of number
The occupied population and performance level to 2005it. Looks not
2.2.2 Performance level Restoration 1991it. At moderate growth
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
Labour productivity restoration on the Russian enterprises to
The level previous recession, creates, in process of increase in volumes
Manufactures, potential possibilities for expansion of cumulative demand on
Employers will aspire to rationalise fund first of all
Working hours of the working. In the event that productivity growth
To measure of expansion of manufacture and exhaustion of internal possibilities of increase
Working hours fund additional hiring of a labour will extend also.
At the made assumptions the general labour demand will be reduced. Opened
Unemployment will extend at the expense of partial liberation of workers and
Curlings of hiring new on a phase of lifting also can reach 17 million persons (22 %
Economically active population). The phenomenon of "the latent unemployment" will be
It is neutralised. However prospects for employment growth open already for
Limits of the seven-year period.
Actually given scenario - one of variants so-called "revival
Without new workplaces "at which economic growth is provided for
The bill of activization of the factors replacing requirement for a new labour. Than
The phenomenon of "the latent unemployment" and, accordingly, is more widespread than
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