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It is necessary for equation to lower deficiency of the federal budget sharply,
To lower volume of loans, as only one administrative efforts on
To prevention of flowing off of capital from the country will be a success hardly.
Drawing 3 shows presence enough stable relation between deficiency
The budget and volume taken out from capitalist countries. The budgeted deficit was that
More than more capital it was taken out from the country. And on the contrary - than it is more
There was a budgeted deficit, the more capital flowed away from the Russian economy.
Export of the capital from the country means corresponding reduction of the internal
Savings, limits possibilities of increase of investment activity,
Reduces prospects of economic growth. The decision of essential problems,
Facing to the country it is impossible in the conditions of falling volumes of output.
Fig. 3. Capital export (the top curve) and deficiency of the federal budget in
1996-1998 (billions dollars)
Thus, creation of conditions promoting, that the capital
Remained in Russia - a unique possible way of achievement
Macroeconomic stabilisation and transition to economy growth. Besides
Obvious problem of sharp decrease in budgetary deficiency, creation is necessary
Stable and clear "game rules", acceleration of structural reforms, creation
Corresponding market institutes.
Now after considerable reduction of volumes of import,
The rouble called by devaluation, there were signs of that in 1999
Balance of the bill on current operations again signs steadily positive
Values. In this situation it is especially important to avoid temptation to return to
To practice of a covering of internal deficiency at the expense of external proficiency. As
Follows from told above, if macroeconomic stabilisation by such way
Also it will be reached, it will not carry steady character.
Fund "Bureau of the economic analysis"
103009 Moscow, Small Gnezdnikovsky lane, 4,
Bodies.(095 937-67-50 fax (095 937-67-53
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