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Re-structurings of an internal debt (including release of not traded long-term
The tools intended for sale to the Central bank).
Re-structuring of an external debt can be interfaced to the considerable
Difficulties. Since 1999 of Russia under the schedule it is necessary to repay
Annually from 14 to 19 billion external debt. These volumes switch on debts
To the international financial organisations, Parisian and London clubs,
Payments under eurobonds, however, do not switch on repayment of rouble tools -
The state credit obligations, bought by foreign investors.
Considering volumes of an external debt (if in 1997 it made an order 27
Gross national product percent, in 1998 - over 49 percent in 1999 will exceed 82 percent
Gross national product), management of a debt (and in a greater degree external, than internal)
Becomes a key problem of a macroeconomic policy in intermediate term
To prospect. It is obvious that scenarios of service of a debt should co-ordinate not
Only with budget possibilities, but also with dynamics of the balance of payments,
Possibility of its regulation.
Annual volumes of repayment and service of an external debt are comparable with
The federal budget. It is obvious that to count on that Russia
Can independently serve and pay off the external debt in the full
Volume, it is hardly realistic. Simultaneously, reception of the considerable external
Credits also is under the big question. Thus, to the beginning 1999
Year the country has approached that the default announcement on an external debt
Becomes quite real prospect and this variant of succession of events,
Despite political statements, it is possible to consider as one of
Possible scenarios of a macroeconomic policy.
In these conditions becomes obvious that results of application accessible
To the government of tools of a macroeconomic policy will impose
Certain restrictions on possibilities of realisation of those or other variants
The monetary and credit policy spent by the monetary authorities. Quantity
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