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The scenario 3 - the Scenario of an "active" macroeconomic policy
In the given scenario still it is supposed that turn to active
To the politician can begin only with 2000, as a reforming direction
Economy and results of 1999 are in many respects already predetermined by the recent
The government decisions, the developed project of the budget and also inertia
1998 - characteristics of 1999 and the macroeconomic policy on 1999
Year a little than differs from the previous scenarios. Though in the budget project on
1999 is supposed that not percentage expenses will make from above 11
Gross national product percent, they hardly will exceed 9 percent. Moreover, is faster than them
Level will be even a little below level of 1998.
In the given scenario it is supposed that since 2000 the state is resolute
Increases volumes of payments on an external debt. And, this step is
Consequence of a spent policy, instead of purpose. In the given scenario
It is supposed that the Government takes measures on increase
Collectings of taxes. Considering that possibilities of corporate sector on
To increase in tax deductions are limited, accent in a tax policy
It is displaced on increase of a collecting of taxes from physical persons. In the first
The turn it concerns surtax.
It is represented that efforts of tax services should be directed on
Revealing of defaulters among the richest part of the population. As
Show calculations (information-analytical bulletin it it 6 "see About
Evasion from surtax payment in 1995-1997 ") representatives
Two top it have underpaid in 1997 of surtax in volume
Approximately equal 3.2 percent of gross national product that is comparable to deficiency of the federal
The budget (by definition of the Ministry of Finance).
Thus, in the given scenario it is supposed that since 2000
Tax administration regarding surtax gathering (amplifies on
Essences it means that preparation for the given step should be conducted during
Simultaneously, it is supposed that the currency policy, the control amplifies
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