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Balance on current operations. As a matter of fact it meant that capital outflow
There was at the expense of a non-return of an export gain, in 1997 an outflow
The capital it was appreciably financed from the involved means.
Essentially also that following the results of 1997 of balance of the bill on operations with
The capital and financial tools for the first time became positive that
Was a consequence of a policy of attraction of the foreign capital on the internal
The estimation of the balance of payments for 1997 shows that balance on the flowing
To operations remains positive. Its size will make an order of 4 billion
Dollars if to use the data of the Central bank for 9 months 1997
And to assume that the Central Bank will not change character it indicators
Foreign trade for the fourth quarter (the second column of table 4), and
Order of 6.5-7 billion dollars if to use Goskomstat data. At
Use of estimations of export and import of Bureau of the economic analysis
(Table 2) balance of the bill on current operations increases a little.
It is natural that thus it is necessary to increase by the corresponding size and
Estimation of volumes taken out from capitalist countries. Considering the stated
Reasons concerning reliability of the foreign trade statistics, the forecast
The balance of payments for 1998 possesses high degree of uncertainty.
One of its conditional variants is presented in table 5. This variant
Is based on estimations of the foreign trade statistics of the Central bank for 9
The months 1997 potentially expected the data about the annual balance of payments
And the reasons stated above about necessity of decrease in factors
- import, at least, for example, since 1998.
In spite of the fact that degree of uncertainty for calculation of the look-ahead
Indicators of the balance of payments for 1998 it is exclusively high (as in force
Sharp fluctuations of the foreign trade conjuncture, and owing to unreliability
Statistical base), in 1998 hardly it is necessary to expect the revolutionary
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