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Has statistically significant and steady character. As a result it is possible
To assume that in the conditions of growing non-payments economic activity in
To the country in essential degree it is supported at the expense of offshore operations.
The enterprises, aspiring to lower actual tax burden, to avoid
Penal sanctions (volume of the delayed debts on payments in the budget and
Off-budget funds, and also the added penal sanctions for not paid
Earlier taxes essentially exceeds monetary weight) could prefer
To carry out mutual calculations through foreign banks, since at occurrence
Really, 6-7 billion the dollars which are annually taken out from the country,
Are quite sufficient for replenishment of circulating assets. Naturally,
This hypothesis based on the macroeconomic data, demands the detailed
Checks on it level.
The basic tendencies in change of the balance of payments
As appears from the published data, in 1997 there was a gradual
Balance reduction on current operations. If in the first quarter its size
Has made more than 4 billion dollars, in the second - only 16 million, and in
The third - the balance on current operations became negative (a minus 1045
Millions US dollars). Thus, total size of balance on the flowing
To operations for nine months 1997 has made the little more than 3 billion
Dollars. If to use the foreign trade statistics of Goskomstat,
The balance on current operations should make for nine months 1997
Order of 5.5 billion dollars, increasing, accordingly, "pure errors and
Admissions ". As appears from the data published by Bank of Russia," pure errors
And admissions "for nine months 1997 remained still rather
Big - a minus of 7.3 billion dollars. An order of this size by an estimation
It will be saved and following the results of a year. It means that in 1997 capital outflow
There will be rather impressive (table 5).
It is necessary to notice especially that in 1997 it was designated qualitatively new
The tendency. In previous years "pure errors and admissions" were less, than
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