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Scenarios of a macroeconomic policy and development of the Russian economy in
To intermediate term prospect.
During reforming of the Russian economy a number has been in the nineties solved
The important macroeconomic problems typical for an initial phase of transformation
Administratively operated economy. So, liberalisation of the prices and external
Trade have given powerful stimulus for change of branch structure of economy, in
First stage - for change of structure of the relative prices. It is sharp
Has changed directions of financial streams in the country, formation of the added
Costs on economy sectors. Change in the relative prices, change
Final demand structures, and, accordingly, and structures of manufacture,
Have allowed to liquidate deficiency, to stabilise, and then and to recover
The consumer market. Deficiency liquidation along with the relative
Stabilisation of the prices and the rate of exchange in 1997 first half of 1998 of a steel
The most visible results of reforms that was reflected in the statistical
However, many problems still expect the decision. It is especially bright
It was showed after August (1998) crisis. Among available in
The present of macroeconomic problems it is necessary to allocate the following:
- Necessity of service and public debt repayment (as
Internal, and external);
- Necessity of radical reforming tax and budgetary
- Necessity of a monetization of economy at restriction of a rise in prices,
Restoration of payment discipline, the decision of problems not only flowing
Payments, but also the saved up debts;
- Stabilisation of a rate of national currency (or at least its predictability
Dynamics which has been not deformed by speculative operations) in the conditions of the varying
The foreign trade conjuncture;
- The decision of problems of the balance of payments, maintenance of pure inflow
Foreign currency in the country, stay of the steady tendency of export
- Creation of macroeconomic conditions (no less than others, including,
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