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The information-analytical bulletin
Estimation of an economic situation in the world in 1999
External operating conditions of the Russian economy in 1999 will be not
Too favorable. Demand in developed and especially developing countries
Will be low enough that causes the low prices for the goods of the Russian
Raw export. Possibilities of attraction by Russia concerning the cheap
Sharpness of a problem of federal and private debts.
* * *
In 1998 in a world economic conjuncture the tendency was designated to
To fall. In the states where 60 % of the world internal are concentrated
Demand, economic growth was essentially slowed down, and in the countries, on which
25 % of world internal demand (East Asia, the Near East are necessary,
Japan, Russia), there was a sharp recession. Currency-financial crisis,
Begun in the middle of 1997 in the states Jugo - and Northeast Asia, in
Current of the last year has extended on the majority of developing countries,
And also the states with transitive economy, first of all on two of five
The largest countries with developing economy - Russia and Brazil.
Some delay in 1999 of rates of increase in the developed is predicted
The countries after as a whole favorable 1998
Schedule 1. Rate of a gain of volume of real gross national product (%)
Source: Economic Report of the US President, 1999
Despite saved instability of an economic situation in
The different countries, according to the majority of experts, the sharpest phase
World financial crisis already behind. To it testifies, in
Particulars, situation stabilisation in the states of South East Asia and
Absence of signs of appreciable deterioration of an economic situation in the countries
Latin America. The further stabilisation of a situation in the world will be
To promote, predictably a number of the decisions accepted by the majority of the developed
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