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Mechanical engineering. However it is necessary to consider that basically it has been reached
At the expense of "heavy machinery" manufacture - lorries, cars
With specialised bodies, tankers, lorry convoys. In December 1998
Year agricultural machinery manufacture has sharply grown. While it
It is impossible to tell about manufacture of cars.
The analysis shows that manufacture growth in mechanical engineering has been reached in
Result of the state intervention, including as a result
Allocation of target credits. Manufacture of production of mechanical engineering,
Focused on final consumption by the population, essentially has not increased,
On the majority of the goods of long using even it was reduced.
Analyzing potentially possible dynamics of industrial production on
1999 it is necessary to start with moderate optimism.
The foreign trade conjuncture remains difficult - hardly it is possible to expect
Essential rise in prices for production of the Russian export in the world markets.
In the conditions of the rigid budget on 1999 demand from outside the states will be
To remain low. Hardly solvent demand for buses, special vehicles,
Tractor and combine harvesters will be steady.
At the same time the general level of mass demand from outside the population
Remains low that will limit requirement for the goods of the long
The same concerns and production of investment purpose.
Indirect acknowledgement of preservation of a problem situation in the industry
The statistics of security of manufacture serves as orders also. By data
Goskomstat of Russia for January, 1st, 1999 security of manufacture
Orders in the industry has made it is unprecedented low size - 1.4
Month (against 2.7 months as of January, 1st of previous year).
Thus, it is not necessary to exclude that revival of the industrial
In the end of 1998 - the beginning of 1999 the short-term can carry manufactures
Character and in two-three months can follow a recession wave.
Fund "Bureau of the economic analysis"
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