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71,1

72,1

73,8

75,8

77,0

Import of the goods

53,7

53,9

55,0

55,7

57,4

Balance of trading balance

17,4

18,1

18,8

20,1

19,5

Mid-annual course, rbl. / dollars

31,77

41,74

52,92

64,07

74,25

The scenario 2 - Temporary refusal of service of an external debt

In spite of the fact that in the previous "inertial" scenario it is supposed,

That Russia tries to carry out as far as possible of the obligations before

External creditors, as a matter of fact she behaves as the bankrupt, as the real

Possibilities of performance of promissory notes appear essentially more low Obligations. Thus, it is natural to consider the scenario, at which The country for a while officially refuses obligations on external debts, Trying to create within several years conditions for economy lifting, with That through three-four years to renew payments on external debts.

Really, theoretically, in this case, it would be possible to count That easing of debt loading would allow to reduce by the budget Requirement for new extra resources to lower inflation, interest rates, To raise investment activity and to pass to the steady economic

To growth. However, also it is logical to admit, what is it will simply postpone necessity

Radical reforms in budgetary sphere and in many respects given scenario will be similar

On the previous.

The macroeconomic policy will be characterised still by that

The state will aspire to improve a situation in budgetary sphere in frameworks

Existing paradigm. The analysis, however, shows that at the given variant The macroeconomic policy probably decrease in volumes foreign trade Turn, and more considerable in comparison with an inertial variant. At It reduction as export, and import (will be observed at "Optimistic" outcome, i.e. "soft" reaction of the world community on

The announcement Russia a sovereign default). Though the balance of payments will be, as well as

In the first scenario to be reduced with positive value of balance on the flowing

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Free 3D Social Icons Free 3D Social Icons represent a free icon library well-suited for websites and software projects dealing with all types of social networks. The pack contains images depicting various communication technologies and web-sites.

Yellow Web Buttons Yellow Web Buttons offer a set of navigation images for social networks and custom web sites. The icons are easy on the eye, and provide a uniform theme painted in yellow color. The delicious buttons for delicious sites:)

Medical Icons for Vista Medical Icons for Vista has been design to avoid any misconceptions appearing while viewing a medical Web site or operating a medical program. The icons are provided in numerous sizes and formats.

16x16 Pixel Toolbar Icons 16 x 16 Pixel Toolbar Icons collection has all the images that are required for your web page or software toolbar.

Business Icon Set Business Icon Set. A collection of all-purpose icons with various symbols for the business environment for use with your software or on your website.