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THE WORLD COMMODITY-RAW MARKETS
The tendency to reduction of prices in the world commodity-raw markets, begun
To be shown in the end of 1997, in 1998 has had the further development.
Considerable decrease in the world prices has mentioned almost all basic groups
The raw goods also has made from 31 % on energy carriers (in relation to
To the middle of 1997) to on the average 17 % on the other exchange goods. In last
To group nonferrous metals became leaders of fall. At a rough guess,
The average price of nickel in 1998 has decreased in comparison with 1997 on 28 %, copper
- On 24 %, zinc - on 11 %.
Among the factors calling depression in the commodity-raw markets,
Are called long recession in the markets of Asian-Pacific region, the leader
To essential decrease in a level of demand on the majority of the raw goods;
Considerable excess of the offer over demand on the majority of the raw
Groups, in particular on mineral oil and grain; crisis development in Russia
And Latin America, in which result possibly increase in the raw
Export under the low prices and, accordingly, the further divergence
The offer and demand. In this situation the most probable variant of development
Events in 1999 there is a preservation of the prices as on fuel, and raw
The goods at low enough level. Possible their some correction in
The increase party will be rather insignificant.
Table 2. The prices in the world commodity-raw markets (changes in % for a year)
Metals and minerals
Source: The World Bank Global Economic Prospects 1998/1999, January
THE FINANCIAL MARKETS
Grave condition of the financial markets in Japan and it, share price falling in
The developed countries, crash of financial systems in a number with emerging markets,
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