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At invariable level of a monetization of economy it most likely will be It is reached at the expense of debts growth on wages and debts Before off-budget funds that is not the problem decision.
Fig. 1. The relation of incomes of the budget in the rests of means on an abacus of the enterprises
Other basic possibility of increase of a collecting of taxes with
Sectors of the enterprises it is connected or with the general increase of level of a monetization
Economy, growth of monetary weight in real expression, or with change
Structures of monetary weight towards increase in relative density of the monetary
Means of the enterprises. Both that, and another is represented to the extremely problematic in
1999. Predicted slump in production at level of 5-7 percent will be
To mean that real demand for money most likely will be reduced, so
The increase in the nominal monetary offer will lead to a rise in prices. Thus
Rates of inflation will advance rates of increase of monetary weight. Superfluous
Monetary resources in the absence of significant on volume of the share market and the market
The state securities will put pressure upon the rate of exchange and on
The commodity markets (including on the markets of consumer goods).
In this sense the situation of 1999 will repeat more likely a situation
1992-1994, when in the conditions of slump in production monetary weight
It was reduced in real expression, rather than a situation of 1995-1997, when with
Development of the market of the state securities drawing increasing
Quantity of monetary resources, and promoting inflation delay
It is obvious that under such circumstances (absence of external financing,
Low level of incomes of the budget) to the state objectively will not manage to be increased
Not percentage expenses. Moreover, it is necessary to go on rationalisation of these
Expenses, and under certain circumstances - and on their reduction.
Other objective factor which should render the essential
Influence on development of the Russian economy in 1999 becomes preservation
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