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Trade (it is absolutely not indisputable that these exercises lead to the best on
To quality to results).
Reflexion problem in official publications of the data about foreign trade
Has had the further development because in the second half of the year 1997
Year serious changes in the Russian customs statistics have begun. Is
The bases to believe that after the sharp criticism in the summer of 1997 and as a result
Essential strengthening of the control over job of customs bodies from outside
FSB, Offices of Public Prosecutor and the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia, and also as a result of strengthening of the internal
Jobs on elimination of infringements the data of the primary customs account in the second
Half-year 1997 began to improve considerably: the number of the such has started to be reduced
Infringements, as understating of customs cost of import, evasion from
Declaring of import, etc. It the share of the visible means that objectively
Import to total amount of actual import should increase.
Accordingly, thus for reception of an estimation of full volume of import
It is necessary to reduce factors it. Otherwise, apparently from
Resulted below table 2, rates of increase of import look unreal.
For example, under the customs data in 4 quarter 1997 it is registered on
47 % are more than import, than in 4 quarter 1996 that is represented
Difficult to explain taking into account the general economic situation.
Estimation of total amounts of the Russian import.
Source: the State Customs Committee, Goskomstat, calculations of Bureau of the economic analysis
Really, if to analyse dynamics of manufacture,
Export-import, consumption and a gain of stocks in a cut of the concrete
Commodity groups, confidence of improvement of quality of customs statistics
Becomes stronger. So, for example, according to preliminary data in January, 1998
Officially registered, "visible" import of sugar (including a raw) has grown in
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