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One of lessons which can take the Russian government, is That for achievement of macroeconomic stability in the country is necessary To support in the balanced status at least one of two balances - Internal (the state budget) or external (balance of payments). Macroeconomic stabilisation will have steady character in that Case if equation will be mutual.
Essential influence on a status of the Russian economy, including - on
The status of public finances renders constant outflow of the capital from
The countries, - both legal, and illegal. According to the balance of payments on
Extent of some years there is rather considerable a non-return export
Gains, volume of import advance payments and the trading credits given
The Russian private sector to non-residents. Are steadily great also so-called
"Pure admissions and errors", which as a matter of fact appreciably
Characterise volume of illegal export of the capital. The bottom curve in drawing 2
Represents quarter volumes of outflow of the capital from the country.
Apparently from the given drawing, till 1996 capital export on volume
Practically coincided with size of balance of the bill on current operations, i.e.
Capital outflow as a matter of fact was financed at the expense of pure export from Russia.
Beginning since 1996 volumes of the taken out capital steadily exceed volume
The pure currency receipts provided with the foreign trade operations. With
This period, the increasing part of the taken out capital represents
Extra means, credits which were given to bodies state
The authorities. Especially brightly it was showed in 1997-1998 after the sharp
Reduction of balance of the bill on current operations. Thus, it is possible
To assume that the means involved from abroad for financing
Deficiency of the federal budget, after a while left back.
Fig. 2. Balance of the bill on current operations (the top curve) and export
The capital in 1994-1998 (billions dollars, according to the payment
The following lesson which Russia can take from financial crisis 1998
Year, again consists that for achievement of the macroeconomic
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