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By consideration of a question on influence of pension reform on accumulation processThe capital it is necessary to distinguish the short-term consequences connected with the transitive
The period, and long-term consequences. In the first case dynamics of the cumulative
Savings depends on the mechanism used for a covering arising in
Communications with reform of deficiency of the state budget. If for its covering
Resort to internal debts, pure result of influence on
Cumulative savings it is equal to zero. If for completion of shortage of means
Resort to decrease in the operational expenditure, the state accumulation remain without
Changes therefore the gain of means in a pension fund represents Itself a pure gain of cumulative savings. As actually
Financing of pension reform has occurred at the expense of a combination of two kinds of measures
-- Increases in internal debts and decrease in the operational expenditure, - it is possible
To draw a conclusion that the increase in cumulative savings as a whole took place. With
The points of view of long-term prospect capital accumulation, an event in
To economy, it is above lean, when the pension system is organised under the scheme of the personal
Accumulation.
And, at last, about consequences of influence of both systems on the budget of the state
Sectors. Here too it is necessary to distinguish short-term and long-term
Consequences. In the first case the mechanism of transition from a distribution mode to
To system of capitalisation inseparably linked with negative for the state The budget consequences. In Chile such result was not unexpectedness. With
The points of view of long-term prospect the new system does not influence in any way on
Status of the state budget, as a provision of pensions
It is financed at the expense of the means which have been saved up on a personal abacus insured.
The old system bears in itself danger of occurrence of the serious financial Difficulties as payments working appear insufficient for Coverings of pensions idle. Because in Chile in due course There was a considerable reduction of a parity of active and passive clients
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